{"id":121124,"date":"2019-04-03T22:05:25","date_gmt":"2019-04-03T14:05:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.rthk.hk\/rthk\/ch\/component\/k2\/1451203-20190403.htm"},"modified":"2019-04-03T22:05:25","modified_gmt":"2019-04-03T14:05:25","slug":"imf%e7%a8%b1%e8%8b%a5%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e5%95%86%e5%93%81%e5%9d%87%e5%be%b525%e9%97%9c%e7%a8%85%e3%80%80%e5%b0%87%e5%a4%a7%e5%b9%85%e6%8b%96%e4%bd%8e%e5%87%ba%e5%8f%a3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/2019\/04\/03\/imf%e7%a8%b1%e8%8b%a5%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e5%95%86%e5%93%81%e5%9d%87%e5%be%b525%e9%97%9c%e7%a8%85%e3%80%80%e5%b0%87%e5%a4%a7%e5%b9%85%e6%8b%96%e4%bd%8e%e5%87%ba%e5%8f%a3\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF\u7a31\u82e5\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5546\u54c1\u5747\u5fb525%\u95dc\u7a05\u3000\u5c07\u5927\u5e45\u62d6\u4f4e\u51fa\u53e3"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u7d44\u7e54(IMF)\u5831\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u82e5\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6240\u6709\u5546\u54c1\u5747\u5fb5\u653625%\u7684\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u5916\u90e8\u9700\u6c42\u6e1b\u5c11\u5c07\u62d6\u4f4e\u5169\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u53ca\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c(GDP)\u3002IMF\u9810\u6599\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u9996\u5e74\u51fa\u53e3\u6216\u6025\u632b20.9%\uff0c\u9577\u9060\u8dcc25.1%\u3002\u81f3\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u9996\u5e74\u51fa\u53e3\u66f4\u8dcc27.5%\uff0c\u9577\u9060\u8dcc36.4%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5831\u544a\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5168\u5e74\u5be6\u8ceaGDP\u53d7\u7d2f\u800c\u8dcc0.3-0.6\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u4e2d\u570bGDP\u8dcc\u5e45\u8f03\u5927\uff0c\u4ecb\u4e4e0.5-1.5\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u51fa\u53e3\u4f54\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8f03\u5927\u4efd\u984d\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u9577\u9060\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6703\u9762\u5c0d\u8f03\u5927\u4e0d\u5229\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u95dc\u7a05\u4e0a\u5347\u53ca\u532f\u7387\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u6703\u964d\u4f4e\u8cc7\u672c\u56de\u5831\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5831\u544a\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u53ca\u6771\u4e9e\u570b\u5bb6\u7b49\u53ef\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u8cbf\u6613\u8f49\u79fb\uff0c\u62b5\u92b7\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u8207\u4e2d\u7f8e\u76f8\u9023\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u61c9\u3002\u4f46\u6574\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6703\u524a\u5f31\u5e02\u5834\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u74b0\u5883\u4ea6\u6703\u6536\u7dca\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)報告指出，若中美所有商品均徵收25%的關稅，外部需求減少將拖低兩國出口及國內生產總值(GDP)。IMF預料，中國對美國首年出口或急挫20.9%，長遠跌25.1%。至於美國對中國首年出口更跌27.5%，長遠跌36.4%。<\/p>\n

報告預期，美國全年實質GDP受累而跌0.3-0.6個百分點，中國GDP跌幅較大，介乎0.5-1.5個百分點，由於美國出口佔中國經濟較大份額。不過，長遠而言，美國會面對較大不利影響，因為關稅上升及匯率升值，會降低資本回報。<\/p>\n

另外，報告認為，墨西哥、加拿大及東亞國家等可受惠於貿易轉移，抵銷供應鏈與中美相連所帶來的負面溢出效應。但整體而言，貿易戰帶來的不確定會削弱市場信心，全球金融環境亦會收緊。 \u95b1\u8b80\u5168\u6587 →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":300,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"slim_seo":[],"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[2,7],"tags":[2019,398,402,397,414,413,410,409,407,408,406,399,2024,400,394,10,401,396,787,786,784,782,783,764,785,403,412,411,395,405,404,2027,2022,2023,2028,670,671,778,779,780,781,2026,2025,2018,2021,2020,2017,319],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7prtj-vvC","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121124"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/300"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121124"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121124\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":121125,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121124\/revisions\/121125"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}