{"id":147266,"date":"2019-07-04T17:11:26","date_gmt":"2019-07-04T09:11:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.rthk.hk\/rthk\/ch\/component\/k2\/1466642-20190704.htm"},"modified":"2019-07-04T17:11:26","modified_gmt":"2019-07-04T09:11:26","slug":"%e7%91%9e%e9%8a%80%e6%8c%87%e5%85%a7%e5%9c%b0%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e4%b8%8b%e8%a1%8c%e5%a3%93%e5%8a%9b%e5%a4%a7%e3%80%80%e4%bd%86%e4%ba%ba%e6%b0%91%e5%b9%a3%e8%b7%8c%e7%a9%bf7%e7%ae%97%e6%a9%9f%e6%9c%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/2019\/07\/04\/%e7%91%9e%e9%8a%80%e6%8c%87%e5%85%a7%e5%9c%b0%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e4%b8%8b%e8%a1%8c%e5%a3%93%e5%8a%9b%e5%a4%a7%e3%80%80%e4%bd%86%e4%ba%ba%e6%b0%91%e5%b9%a3%e8%b7%8c%e7%a9%bf7%e7%ae%97%e6%a9%9f%e6%9c%83\/","title":{"rendered":"\u745e\u9280\u6307\u5167\u5730\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\u5927\u3000\u4f46\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u8dcc\u7a7f7\u7b97\u6a5f\u6703\u4e0d\u5927"},"content":{"rendered":"

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瑞銀首席中國經濟學家胡一帆表示，今年中國經濟有較大下行壓力，預料全年經濟增長約6.2%，低於去年6.6%的增速。<\/p>\n

她指，內地國內生產總值基數很大，經濟出現結構性放緩，加上中美貿易局勢緊張，預計貨幣和財政政策將保持寬鬆。<\/p>\n

胡一帆表示，內地銀行存款準備金率相對高，降準空間和效率較大，預料人民銀行今年全面降準1-2個百分點，將釋放2萬億元人民幣流動性。她又預期，人行將放寬借貸，滿足市場短期資金需求。至於最近再度開展央行票據互換，對銀行永續債的流動性可提供支持。<\/p>\n

胡一帆認為，人行貨幣政策工具多元化，加上今年內地通脹壓力較大，相信即使美國有減息趨勢，中國亦不會跟隨。她又預測人民幣兌美元跌穿7算機會不大，未來半年至一年將維持7算之內。 \u95b1\u8b80\u5168\u6587 →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":300,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"slim_seo":[],"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[2,7],"tags":[2019,398,402,397,414,413,410,409,407,408,406,399,2024,400,394,10,401,396,787,786,784,782,783,764,785,403,412,411,395,405,404,2027,2022,2023,2028,670,671,778,779,780,781,2026,2025,2018,2021,2020,2017,319],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7prtj-Cjg","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147266"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/300"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=147266"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147266\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":147284,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147266\/revisions\/147284"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=147266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=147266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itteacheritfreelance.hk\/test\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=147266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}